January 23rd, 2022
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Spider-Man: No Way Home is back at the top of the box office chart this weekend, with Sony projecting it will earn $14.125 million this time around for a domestic total of $721 million. Scream will be down 59% from its opening (in line with our model’s prediction). Its $12.4 million takes it to $51.3 million so far. Redeeming Love is coming in well ahead of our Friday-morning prediction with $3.71 million over the weekend and will land in fourth place.
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December 19th, 2021
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After two dismal years for the theatrical business, Spider-Man has returned to change the rules of the game. Again. Back in 2002, the first Spider-Man movie set an all-time record by opening with $114.8 million—becoming the first film to top $100 million at the box office in a single weekend. That was arguably the beginning of the modern era at the box office.
This weekend, Spider-Man: No Way Home may be kicking off the post-pandemic era with a gargantuan $253-million opening. That’s not just the best result of the pandemic. It’s the best by a huge margin, more than doubling the opening of Venom: Let There Be Carnage, which itself significantly outperformed expectations. Even more impressively, it’s the third-best weekend of all time, behind only Avengers: Endgame ($357 million) and Avengers: Infinity War ($258 million). In fact, a good Sunday number would take it into second place on that list.
Oh, and it’s already the highest-grossing film of 2021.
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December 12th, 2021
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As I said on Friday, the measure of success for West Side Story is not so much how it opens as how strong its legs are. Based on its performance through this weekend, there’s cause for some mild optimism. Ahead of the weekend, our model expected an opening around $6.9 million, based on its debut in a relatively modest 2,820 theaters and current market conditions. Its $800,000 in preview earnings suggested a weekend close to $10 million was on the cards, and bumped the model’s prediction up to $8.27 million. This morning Disney announced a projected $10.5 million for the film over its opening weekend. While that’s hardly a reason for dancing in the streets, it does suggest the film will play well for a while.
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December 10th, 2021
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This is shaping up to be an interesting weekend at the box office, with three movies having a theoretical shot at coming out on top. Our model marginally favors Encanto, which should have a strong hold as Holiday Season hots up. West Side Story is hot on its heels though, and could easily come out on top based on its $800,000 in previews on Thursday. Even Ghostbusters: Afterlife has an outside shot at pulling off a surprise win.
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December 6th, 2021
The classic musical, directed by Steven Spielberg, starring Ansel Elgort and Ariana DeBose opens in theaters on Friday, December 10 ... Full Movie Details.
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