The Numbers News - February 2025

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Weekend predictions: Captain America set for third straight win

February 28, 2025

Captain America: Brave New World

Captain America: Brave New World should cruise to another comfortable win at the box office this weekend, with Last Breath the biggest new release battling The Monkey for second place. More...

Theater counts: Captain America three-peats as widest release

February 27, 2025

Captain America: Brave New World

Captain America: Brave New World once again landed the number one spot at the domestic box office last weekend, scoring over $28 million in its second weekend and doubling the second place finisher, The Monkey, as it made its first foray onto the big screen, opening just above $14 million from 3,200 locations. This weekend, three new wide releases will make their debuts, but for at least one more week, Captain America will remain the widest release in the land. More...

Weekend projections: Captain America beats back The Monkey

February 23, 2025

The Monkey

The Monkey will post the second-best debut ever for Neon this weekend, hitting around $14.2 million on debut. That’s a shade behind our Friday-morning prediction, but a good result nonetheless. It won’t be enough to topple Captain America: Brave New World from the top of the box office chart, as the Marvel hero will hit $30.7 million on its second weekend, according to Disney. More...

Black Bag trailer

February 22, 2025

Steven Soderbergh’s spy thriller, starring Michael Fassbender and Cate Blanchett, opens in theaters March 14. Full movie details.

George Woodhouse and his beloved wife Kathryn are legendary intelligence agents. When Kathryn is suspected of betraying the nation, George faces the ultimate test—loyalty to his marriage or his country. More...

Weekend predictions: Monkey takes on Captain America

February 21, 2025

The Monkey

Osgood Perkins’ follow-up to 2024’s indie hit Longlegs lands in theaters this weekend. The Monkey isn’t expected to do the kind of business earned by the director’s previous movie, but it looks like it will have a solid opening this weekend. Captain America: Brave New World looks unlikely to knocked from the top of the chart though. More...

Last Breath trailer

February 20, 2025

Thriller based on real-life events, starring Woody Harrelson, Simu Liu, and Finn Cole, opens in theaters February 28. Full movie details.

Based on a 2019 documentary by the same name, Last Breath follows a deep-sea diver’s rescue mission. More...

Theater Counts: Captain America once again secures widest release in its second weekend

February 20, 2025

Captain America: Brave New World

Captain America: Brave New World opened last weekend and soared over its competitors, taking in $88.84m over the three-day weekend, and $100.02m over the four-day Holiday weekend. Claiming second place at the box office, Paddington in Peru grossed $12.76m over the three-day weekend and $16.01m over the four-day weekend. Captain America: Brave New World will remain the widest release in its second weekend across 4,105 theaters. More...

Mobile Suit Gundam GQuuuuuuX -Beginning- trailer

February 19, 2025

Anime action movie opens in theaters this Friday, February 28. Full movie details.

Amate Yuzuriha is a high-school student living peacefully in a space colony floating in outer space. When she meets a war refugee named Nyaan, Amate is drawn into the illegal mobile suit dueling sport known as Clan Battle. Under the entry name “Machu,” she throws herself into fierce battle day after day, piloting the GQuuuuuuX. Then an unidentified Gundam mobile suit pursued by both the space force and the police appears before her, along with its pilot, a boy named Shuji. Now their world is about to enter a new era. More...

Weekend projections: Captain America lands with $100 million over four days on busy weekend in theaters

February 16, 2025

Captain America: Brave New World

Captain America: Brave New World is coming in a little ahead of our Friday-morning prediction, landing with $88.5 million over three days, and a projected $100 million over four, according to Disney this morning. With Paddington in Peru also posting better-than-expected numbers, and all the returning films doing brisk business, thanks to a combination of the holiday weekend and a lack of competition with the Super Bowl, this is easily the best weekend for movie theaters for 2025 so far. More...

Weekend predictions: Captain America looking at solid opening for Marvel

February 14, 2025

Captain America: Brave New World

Captain America: Brave New World looks set to post a solid opening this weekend, with our model predicting something around $80 million over three days, and the film likely topping $90 million over the long weekend. While that’s well short of the sort of numbers posted during the heyday of the Marvel Cinematic Universe, it’s a big improvement over the $46 million earned by The Marvels on its opening weekend in November 2023. Meanwhile, Paddington in Peru will provide some counter-programming, and likely be a big draw for families on Monday. More...

Until Dawn trailer

February 13, 2025

Horror movie starring Ella Rubin, Michael Cimino, Jiyoung Yoo, Belmont Cameli, and Odessa A'zion opens in theaters April 25. Full movie details.

One year after her sister Melanie mysteriously disappeared, Clover and her friends head into the remote valley where she vanished in search of answers. Exploring an abandoned visitor center, they find themselves stalked by a masked killer and horrifically murdered one by one… only to wake up and find themselves back at the beginning of the same evening. Trapped in the valley, they’re forced to relive the nightmare again and again—only each time the killer threat is different, each more terrifying than the last. Hope dwindling, the group soon realizes they have a limited number of deaths left, and the only way to escape is to survive until dawn. More...

Theater counts: Captain America soars into 4,105 theaters

February 13, 2025

Captain America: Brave New World

Despite the arrival of two newcomers to the big screen, it was a rather slow weekend at the domestic box office with Dog Man scoring just shy of $14 million, taking top billing in its second weekend and stifling the debuts of Love Hurts and Heart Eyes, which closed out the weekend with earnings of $5.8 million and $8.31 million, respectively. This weekend brings on two more films making their first foray into cinemas, including Captain America: Brave New World. More...

The Unbreakable Boy trailer

February 11, 2025

Family drama starring Jacob Laval and Zachary Levi opens in theaters this February 21. Full movie details.

Austin has both a rare brittle-bone disease and autism. But what makes him truly unique is his joyous, funny, life-affirming worldview that transforms and unites everyone around him. The boy’s father changes his life as he comes to see Austin not as the symbol of something broken, but the triumph of an indestructible spirit. More...

Paddington in Peru trailer

February 10, 2025

Family adventure featuring the voice of Ben Whishaw opens in theaters this Friday, February 14. Full movie details.

When Paddington discovers his beloved Aunt Lucy has gone missing from the Home for Retired Bears, he and the Brown family head to the wilds of Peru to look for her, the only clue to her whereabouts a spot marked on an enigmatic map. Determined to solve the mystery, Paddington embarks on a quest through the rainforests of the Amazon to find his aunt… and may also uncover one of the world’s most legendary treasures. More...

Weekend projections: Dog Man tops chart on weekend clobbered by Super Bowl

February 9, 2025

Dog Man

Today’s Super Bowl is expected to keep a large chunk of the movie audience out of theaters today, dragging down earnings across the board. Dog Man will take a 62% hit from its opening weekend earnings, a substantial amount for a family film, but will win the weekend fairly easily, with new releases Heart Eyes and Love Hurts each falling well short of $10 million. More...

Weekend predictions: Dog Man to stay top as Heart Eyes and Love Hurts battle football’s big day

February 7, 2025

Dog Man

Barring a major upset, Dog Man looks set to top the box office chart this weekend, with slasher horror movie Heart Eyes and action comedy Love Hurts fighting over the scraps on Super Bowl weekend. More...

Theater counts: Dog Man once again secures widest release in its second weekend

February 6, 2025

Dog Man

Dog Man opened last weekend to a rather unexpected good fortune as the animated feature pawed its way to a solid $36 million in its theatrical debut while outpacing the other newcomer, Companion, by nearly $27 million over the three-day period. To remain number one this weekend, however, the film will have to fend off not only another pair of newcomers but also compete against Super Bowl LIX. More...

Our 2025 prediction ticks up to $9.4 billion

February 6, 2025

It’s still very early days, but 2025 has made a promising start, at least for films that are carrying over from 2024. The strong performance of Wicked, Moana 2, Sonic the Hedgehog 3, and Mufasa: The Lion King through the Holidays and into January between them added over $200 million to the update to our annual prediction in late January.

Subscribe to The Numbers Business Report for that update and a full set of predictions for films planned for release this year. Read on for an overview of how our model thought 2025 will shape up in movie theaters, as of January 24… More...

Smurfs trailer

February 6, 2025

Musical adventure with the voices of Rihanna, John Goodman, and Nick Offerman opens in theaters July 18. Full movie details.

When Papa Smurf is mysteriously taken by evil wizards, Razamel and Gargamel, Smurfette leads the Smurfs on a mission into the real world to save him. With the help of new friends, the Smurfs must discover what defines their destiny to save the universe. More...

Jurassic World Rebirth trailer

February 5, 2025

Dinosaur action movie starring Mahershala Ali, Scarlett Johansson, and Jonathan Bailey opens in theaters July 2. Full movie details.

Five years after the events of Jurassic World Dominion, the planet’s ecology has proven largely inhospitable to dinosaurs. Those remaining exist in isolated equatorial environments with climates resembling the one in which they once thrived. The three most colossal creatures within that tropical biosphere hold the key to a drug that will bring miraculous life-saving benefits to humankind. More...

The Fantastic Four: First Steps trailer

February 4, 2025

The latest from Marvel, starring Pedro Pascal, Vanessa Kirby, Joseph Quinn, and Ebon Moss-Bachrach opens in theaters July 25. Full movie details.

On a 1960s-inspired retro-futuristic Earth, the Fantastic Four must protect their world from the planet-devouring cosmic being Galactus and his herald, the Silver Surfer. More...

Love Hurts trailer

February 3, 2025

Action comedy starring Ke Huy Quan and Ariana DeBose opens in theaters this Friday, February 7. Full movie details.

Marvin Gable is a realtor working the Milwaukee suburbs, where “For Sale” signs bloom. Gable receives a crimson envelope from Rose, a former partner-in-crime that he had left for dead. She’s not happy. Now, Marvin is thrust back into a world of ruthless hitmen, filled with double-crosses and open houses turned into deadly warzones. With his brother Knuckles, a volatile crime lord, hunting him, Marvin must confront the choices that haunt him and the history he never truly buried. More...

Weekend projections: Dog Man lands excellent $36-million weekend, the biggest of 2025 so far

February 2, 2025

Dog Man

Dog Man is out the gate this weekend with an excellent $36-million debut—easily the best weekend for a movie so far this year. Universal is pointing out this morning that the film will land the second-highest opening weekend for an animated movie in January, behind only Kung Fun Panda 3’s $41.3 million. While a victory for the studio, this result is also a big miss for our model, and I’ll dig into what went wrong. More...