Weekend predictions: can Taylor Swift outdo Barbie?

October 13th, 2023

Crowds are packing theaters again this weekend in numbers we haven’t seen since the Summer. Specifically, since Barbie and Oppenheimer combined for one of the biggest one-two punches in movie history. Audience demographics might be remarkably similar this weekend as TAYLOR SWIFT | THE ERAS TOUR hits theaters. Will we see the same kind of result? Who will win the Swifty/Barbie battle? More...

Weekend predictions: The Nun II looking good for opening weekend in the 30s

September 8th, 2023

The Nun II looks likely to scare up an opening weekend somewhere between $30 million and $40 million, with our model predicting on opening around $35 million. That will give it the best opening weekend for The Conjuring franchise since The Nun, which opened with $53.8 million back in 2018. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 will meanwhile debut with less than $10 million, based on its tepid previews on Thursday. Bollywood movie Jawan should be the third new release to hit the top ten this weekend. More...

Weekend predictions: The Equalizer 3 has a shot at franchise-best opening

September 1st, 2023

The question this weekend is not which film will win, but whether The Equalizer 3 will have the best opening weekend for an Equalizer film. The bar is set at $36 million, which was how much The Equalizer 2 managed back in 2018. Our model thinks the franchise capper could top that figure, although it doesn’t look like it will do so by much. With the likes of Barbie, Gran Turismo and Blue Beetle fading, there won’t be much competition for top spot. More...

Weekend predictions: Gran Turismo likely winner on crowded weekend

August 25th, 2023

Gran Turismo looks likely to top the box office chart this weekend, but our predictions are complicated by the fact that we have four new wide releases, a wide re-release, and National Cinema Day on Sunday. In spite of all that, this will almost certainly be the first weekend to gross less than $100 million in total since the weekend of March 31. More...

Weekend predictions: Blue Beetle headed to the top on opening weekend, but looking underwhelming

August 18th, 2023

Blue Beetle should top the box office chart this weekend, but it’s looking like it’ll mimic the performance of Shazam! Fury of the Gods and come in with something around $30 million on debut—another disappointment for the DC Extended Universe following The Flash’s $55-million opening and $108-million run in June and July. Barbie looks headed to second place this weekend, with Strays back in a pack of movies that will earn something in the $9 million to $10 million range. More...

Weekend predictions: Demeter won’t challenge the reigning champs

August 11th, 2023

Barbie will charge past $500 million at the domestic box office today, and top the box office chart for the 4th consecutive weekend. With The Last Voyage of the Demeter looking like it will struggle to gain any traction, Oppenheimer will most likely regain second place ahead of the second weekend of Meg 2: The Trench. More...

Weekend predictions: Barbie still the champ, but a tight race brewing for second place

August 4th, 2023

Barbie will have no trouble staying at the top of the box office charts this weekend. After cruising past $400 million yesterday (the 9th-fastest film to reach that landmark), it will end the weekend over $450 million domestically still with a long run ahead of it. The battle for second place will be tight though, with Oppenheimer, Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem and Meg 2: The Trench all having a legitimate shot at taking the silver medal. More...

Weekend predictions: Barbie shooting for $80-million-plus second weekend

July 28th, 2023

All eyes remain on Barbie this weekend as it attempts to follow up its opening weekend, the 20th-best of all time, with something in the top 20 second weekends of all time. Based on how it’s been doing during the week, that seems like a good bet. It’ll have a bit of competition from Haunted Mansion this time around though, and perhaps more people will choose to watch Barbie or Oppenheimer this weekend, rather than both together. Even at the low end though, we’re still looking ahead to a very good weekend in theaters. More...

Weekend predictions: is Barbenheimer set for a $200-million opening?

July 21st, 2023

It looks like it’ll be a close-run thing, but we might be having the biggest weekend at the box office since the pandemic, with Barbie and Oppenheimer in with a shot of hitting $200 million between them, and enough juice from returning films to take us past the $281.6 million earned on the weekend Spider-Man: No Way Home debuted in December, 2021. Both films are looking set for great openings, but Barbie looks like it could be the one setting records. More...