Bleed for This (2016)

Bleed for This
Theatrical Performance
Domestic Box Office $5,083,906Details
International Box Office $2,087,414Details
Worldwide Box Office $7,171,320
Home Market Performance
Est. Domestic DVD Sales $883,309 Details
Est. Domestic Blu-ray Sales $570,854 Details
Total Est. Domestic Video Sales $1,454,163
Further financial details...

Synopsis

The true story of one of the most inspiring and unlikely comebacks in sports history. Vinny “The Pazmanian Devil” Pazienza, is a local Providence boxer who shot to stardom after winning two world title fights. After a near-fatal car accident leaves Vinny with a severed spine, doctors tell him he may never walk again. With the help of renowned trainer Kevin Rooney, Vinny becomes a legend when he not only walks again, but miraculously returns to the ring to reclaim his title belt only a year after the accident.

Metrics

Opening Weekend:$2,366,810 (46.6% of total gross)
Legs:2.15 (domestic box office/biggest weekend)
Domestic Share:70.9% (domestic box office/worldwide)
Production Budget:$16,000,000 (worldwide box office is 0.4 times production budget)
Theater counts:1,549 opening theaters/1,549 max. theaters, 2.6 weeks average run per theater
Infl. Adj. Dom. BO $6,335,773

Latest Ranking on Cumulative Box Office Lists


Watch Now On

Amazon VOD:Amazon
iTunes:iTunes
Google Play:Google Play
Vudu:Vudu

Movie Details

Domestic Releases: November 18th, 2016 (Wide) by Open Road
International Releases: December 2nd, 2016 (Wide) (United Kingdom)
December 30th, 2016 (Wide), released as Bleed for This - A Força de Um Campeão (Portugal)
February 3rd, 2017 (Wide) (Russia (CIS))
February 24th, 2017 (Wide), released as Kova iki paskutinio kraujo lašo (Lithuania)
March 6th, 2017 (Wide) (South Korea)
... Show all releases
Video Release: January 31st, 2017 by Universal Home Entertainment
MPAA Rating: R for language, sexuality/nudity and some accident images.
(Rating bulletin 2446 (Cert #50063), 10/12/2016)
Running Time: 116 minutes
Comparisons: vs. Harriet
Create your own comparison chart…
Keywords: Inspirational Sports, Boxing, Car Accident, Paralysis, Comeback, Biographical Drama, Biography, Sports Injury, 1980s, 1990s
Source:Based on Real Life Events
Genre:Drama
Production Method:Live Action
Creative Type:Dramatization
Production/Financing Companies: Open Road Films, Magna Entertainment, Sikelia Productions, Verdi Productions, Bruce Cohen Productions, Younger Than You Productions, The Solution Entertainment Group
Production Countries: United States
Languages: English

Compare this performance with other movies…

Domestic Cumulative Box Office Records

Weekend Box Office Performance

DateRankGross% ChangeTheatersPer TheaterTotal GrossWeek
Nov 18, 2016 8 $2,366,810   1,549 $1,528   $2,366,810 1
Nov 25, 2016 17 $920,559 -61% 1,549 $594   $4,224,263 2
Dec 2, 2016 20 $295,675 -68% 649 $456   $4,847,865 3
Dec 9, 2016 33 $68,808 -77% 210 $328   $5,051,927 4

Daily Box Office Performance

DateRankGross%YD%LWTheatersPer TheaterTotal GrossDays
Nov 18, 2016 8 $895,366     1,549 $578   $895,366 1
Nov 19, 2016 9 $886,412 -1%   1,549 $572   $1,781,778 2
Nov 20, 2016 8 $585,032 -34%   1,549 $378   $2,366,810 3
Nov 21, 2016 9 $251,564 -57%   1,549 $162   $2,618,374 4
Nov 22, 2016 8 $279,236 +11%   1,549 $180   $2,897,610 5
Nov 23, 2016 13 $212,219 -24%   1,549 $137   $3,109,829 6
Nov 24, 2016 15 $193,875 -9%   1,549 $125   $3,303,704 7
Nov 25, 2016 - $363,111 +87% -59% 1,549 $234   $3,666,815 8
Nov 26, 2016 - $366,742 +1% -59% 1,549 $237   $4,033,557 9
Nov 27, 2016 - $190,706 -48% -67% 1,549 $123   $4,224,263 10
Nov 28, 2016 15 $76,491 -60% -70% 1,549 $49   $4,300,754 11
Nov 29, 2016 - $103,263 +35% -63% 1,549 $67   $4,404,017 12
Nov 30, 2016 - $81,414 -21% -62% 1,549 $53   $4,485,431 13
Dec 1, 2016 - $66,759 -18% -66% 1,549 $43   $4,552,190 14
Dec 2, 2016 - $84,871 +27% -77% 649 $131   $4,637,061 15
Dec 3, 2016 - $127,760 +51% -65% 649 $197   $4,764,821 16
Dec 4, 2016 - $83,044 -35% -56% 649 $128   $4,847,865 17
Dec 5, 2016 - $33,217 -60% -57% 649 $51   $4,881,082 18
Dec 6, 2016 - $43,846 +32% -58% 649 $68   $4,924,928 19
Dec 7, 2016 - $34,638 -21% -57% 649 $53   $4,959,566 20
Dec 8, 2016 - $23,553 -32% -65% 649 $36   $4,983,119 21
Dec 9, 2016 - $20,629 -12% -76% 210 $98   $5,003,748 22
Dec 10, 2016 - $27,849 +35% -78% 210 $133   $5,031,597 23
Dec 11, 2016 - $20,330 -27% -76% 210 $97   $5,051,927 24
Dec 12, 2016 - $8,742 -57% -74% 210 $42   $5,060,669 25
Dec 13, 2016 - $10,228 +17% -77% 210 $49   $5,070,897 26
Dec 14, 2016 - $8,080 -21% -77% 210 $38   $5,078,977 27
Dec 15, 2016 - $4,929 -39% -79% 210 $23   $5,083,906 28

Weekly Box Office Performance

DateRankGross% ChangeTheatersPer TheaterTotal GrossWeek
Nov 18, 2016 10 $3,303,704   1,549 $2,133   $3,303,704 1
Nov 25, 2016 16 $1,248,486 -62% 1,549 $806   $4,552,190 2
Dec 2, 2016 20 $430,929 -65% 649 $664   $4,983,119 3
Dec 9, 2016 33 $100,787 -77% 210 $480   $5,083,906 4

Box Office Summary Per Territory

Territory Release
Date
Opening
Weekend
Opening
Weekend
Screens
Maximum
Screens
Theatrical
Engagements
Total
Box Office
Report
Date
Belgium 5/10/2017 $1,757 3 3 5 $2,417 5/31/2017
Germany 4/20/2017 $61,051 102 102 125 $66,328 5/9/2017
Italy 3/9/2017 $241,422 0 0 0 $451,926 3/22/2017
Lithuania 2/24/2017 $3,139 31 31 44 $6,592 3/21/2017
Portugal 12/30/2016 $31,309 36 36 90 $89,211 1/26/2017
Russia (CIS) 2/3/2017 $119,950 151 151 260 $166,132 1/1/2019
South Africa 4/28/2017 $2,394 5 6 12 $4,645 5/16/2017
South Korea 3/6/2017 $0 0 167 167 $60,084 4/19/2017
United Kingdom 12/2/2016 $318,375 238 238 238 $672,685 10/2/2018
 
Rest of World $567,394
 
International Total$2,087,414 1/1/2019

International Cumulative Box Office Records


Worldwide Cumulative Box Office Records


Weekly US DVD Sales

DateRankUnits
this
Week
% ChangeTotal
Units
Spending
this
Week
Total
Spending
Weeks
in
Release
Feb 19, 20172614,308 14,308$256,972$256,9723

Weekly US Blu-ray Sales

DateRankUnits
this
Week
% ChangeTotal
Units
Spending
this
Week
Total
Spending
Weeks
in
Release
Feb 19, 20171512,900 12,900$262,122$262,1223

Our DVD and Blu-ray sales estimates are based on weekly retail surveys, which we use to build a weekly market share estimate for each title we are tracking. The market share is converted into a weekly sales estimate based on industry reports on the overall size of the market, including reports published in Media Play News.

For example, if our weekly retail survey estimates that a particular title sold 1% of all units that week, and the industry reports sales of 1,500,000 units in total, we will estimate 15,000 units were sold of that title. The consumer spending estimate is based on the average sales price for the title in the retailers we survey.

We refine our estimates from week to week as more data becomes available. In particular, we adjust weekly sales figures for the quarter once the total market estimates are published by the Digital Entertainment Group. Figures will therefore fluctuate each week, and totals for individual titles can go up or down as we update our estimates.

Because sales figures are estimated based on sampling, they will be more accurate for higher-selling titles.

Full financial estimates for this film, including domestic and international box office, video sales, video rentals, TV and ancillary revenue are available through our research services. For more information, please contact us at research@the-numbers.com.

Leading Cast

Miles Teller    Vinny Pazienza
Aaron Eckhart    Kevin Rooney
Christine Evangelista    Ashley

Supporting Cast

Katey Sagal    Louise Pazienza
Ciaran Hinds    Angelo Pazienza
Ted Levine    Lou Duva
Jordan Gelber    Dan Duva
Amanda Clayton    Doreen
Liz Carey    Charity
Tina Casciani    Heather
Daniel Sauli    Jon
Tom DeNucci    Paulie
Denise Schaefer    Leigh
Julie Ann Dawson    Ring Girl
Gia Skova    Duran Ring Girl
Allie Marshall    Sport Reporter/Fight Attendee
Kimberly Howe    Doreen’s Friend
Portland Helmich    Reporter at Weigh-In
Stephanie McIntyre    VIP Supporter
Ashley Tramonte    Ringside VIP
Lance Norris    Casino Gambler

For a description of the different acting role types we use to categorize acting perfomances, see our Glossary.

Production and Technical Credits

Ben Younger    Director
Bruce Cohen    Producer
Emma Tillinger Koskoff    Producer
Ben Younger    Producer
Chad A. Verdi    Producer
Noah Kraft    Producer
Pamela Thur    Producer
Ben Younger    Screenwriter
Ben Younger    Story by
Pippa Bianco    Story by
Angelo Pizzo    Story by
Martin Scorsese    Executive Producer
Joshua Sason    Executive Producer
Michelle Verdi    Executive Producer
Myles Nestel    Executive Producer
Lisa Wilson    Executive Producer
Larkin Seiple    Director of Photography
Kay Lee    Production Designer
Zac Stuart-Pontier    Editor
Melissa Vargas    Costume Designer
Susan Jacobs    Music Supervisor
Julia Holter    Composer
Kerry Barden    Casting Director
Paul Schnee    Casting Director

Home Market Releases for February 14th, 2017

February 13th, 2017

Arrival

It is an interesting week with four top-notch releases. Unfortunately, two of those releases, Doctor Strange and Moonlight, are VOD only. This leaves just two contenders for Pick of the Week: Arrival and The Edge of Seventeen. Both are absolute must haves, but Arrival’s Blu-ray or 4K Ultra HD Combo Pack have far more extras and it is the Pick of the Week. More...

Home Market Releases for January 31st, 2017

January 31st, 2017

Queen of Katwe

It’s a slow week at the top, as there are no new releases that were hits in theaters. That doesn’t mean we have no contenders for Pick of the Week, just that they are smaller films or ones that struggled in theaters. Queen of Katwe is the best of this list and the Blu-ray is the Pick of the Week. More...

Weekend Wrap-up: Moana Takes on Beast Over Thanksgiving Weekend

November 29th, 2016

Moana

As expected, Moana earned first place over the Thanksgiving weekend and became the biggest true opener in the holiday’s history. (Technically Frozen opened in limited release the week before and as we learned from Futurama, technically correct is the best kind of correct.) The film was a little more front-loaded than expected and nearly matched our predictions. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them held on better than predicted and that one-two punch helped the overall box office grow 17% from last weekend to $184 million, over the three-day portion of the weekend. This is nearly identical to the same weekend last year; in fact, it was up by less than 1%. Year-to-date, 2016 has pulled in $9.99 billion. 2016 will soon become the eighth year in a row to reach the $10 billion milestone. This is 5.0% / $470 million above last year’s pace. I’ve been saying for a while that we needed to enter December with a $300 million advantage over 2015 in order to come out ahead at the end of the year, so this is great news. More...

Weekend Wrap-Up: Fantastic Beast Can’t Lift Box Office

November 22nd, 2016

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

As expected, Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them dominated the box office earning nearly as much as the rest of the films combined. However, it was unexpectedly weak earning just $74.40 million. In fact, every film we talked about on Thursday’s predictions underperformed and the overall box office was down to $158 million. Granted, “down” in this case is only off by 0.1%, but considering we were expecting significant growth, even a little drop is distressing. Worse still, the box office is off by 8.9% from this weekend last year. Again, we were expecting growth in the year-over-year comparison, so a drop this big really hurts. Year-to-date, 2016 has pulled in $9.49 billion, which is 5.9% or $540 million better than last year’s pace. That said, I wouldn’t panic, as Moana should help the box office bounce back this weekend. More...

Weekend Estimates: Fantastic Beasts Makes Fantastic-ish $75 Million

November 20th, 2016

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them is doing everything Warner Bros. could have wished for this weekend, posting a lively $75 million opening in the US, hitting $143.3 million internationally for a global opening over $200 million, and getting a A CinemaScore that should give it positive word of mouth going into Thanksgiving. For a franchise reboot, that’s a lot of reasons to be happy, although its opening is well below the openings enjoyed by the original Harry Potter franchise. The worst of those, Chamber of Secrets, opened with $88 million over three days (Order of the Phoenix and Half-Blood Prince both technically had slower weekends than Chamber of Secrets, but both of them opened on Wednesday, and they still did over $75 million Friday–Sunday). More...

Friday Estimates: Fantastic Dominates Charts, but with just $29.7 million

November 19th, 2016

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

As expected, Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them easily earned first place on Friday. However, it only managed $29.7 million, which was well below expectations. This is the worst opening day in the Harry Potter franchise since The Chamber of Secrets. (The two films are so close that the final figure for Fantastic Beasts could be the worst in the franchise.) The reviews are weaker than the franchise as a whole, but its CinemaScore is an A and that’s roughly average for the previous 8 Harry Potter films. The film should still earn between $70 million and $75 million over the weekend, depending on if the high CinemaScore can overcome the Fanboy Effect. I would choose to be optimistic, but that hasn’t worked out this weekend. More...

Thursday Night Previews: Fantastic Doesn’t Quite Live Up to Its Name with $8.75 million - Updated

November 18th, 2016

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them pulled in $8.75 million during its midnight shows last night. That’s good, but a little lower than expected and not even the best of the fall so far. It was beaten by Doctor Strange, which earned $9.4 million just two weeks ago. Worse still, Fantastic Beasts' reviews have fallen to 74% positive. That’s still good for a blockbuster release, but it is the lowest in the Harry Potter franchise and will likely hurt the film’s box office performance over the weekend. It should still make over $80 million this weekend, but it will be close. We might have to revise that prediction lower tomorrow when we have Friday’s estimates. More...

Weekend Predictions: Will Fantastic Be Fantastic? Or will it merely be a Beast at the Box Office?

November 17th, 2016

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

At the beginning of the month, we thought there would be four wide releases / expansions this week. However, it turns out there will be just one, Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them. The lack of wide releases should help it at the box office and there is a small chance it could top $100 million over the next three days. While there are no other wide releases, there are a few films opening or expanding semi-wide. Of these, The Edge of Seventeen is the only one with a realistic shot at the top five. It is earning the best reviews of the week and did earn a lot of film festival buzz, so that should help. Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk had an amazing opening in limited release last weekend, but it will likely struggle as it expands into just over 1,000 theaters this weekend. Finally there’s Bleed for This, which is expected to barely make the top ten. This weekend last year, the final installment of the Hunger Games franchise opened with just over $100 million. There’s a slim chance Fantastic Beasts will do the same. Even if it doesn’t, the depth this year is much better than last year and that should help 2016 win in the year-over-year comparison. More...

Contest: Fantastic Prizes

November 10th, 2016

Kubo and the Two Strings

There are four films opening or expanding wide next week, at least that’s what we thought would happen at the beginning of the month. Now we learn The Edge of Seventeen is opening semi-wide, Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk is only expanding semi-wide, while we still don’t know what is happening with Bleed for This. This is great news for Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them, as it will have even less competition that anticipated. It is also the only reasonable choice for the target film in this week’s Box Office Prediction contest. In order to win, one must simply predict the opening weekend box office number for Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them.

Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going over, will win a copy of Kubo and the Two Strings on Blu-ray Combo Pack. Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going under, will also win a previously reviewed movie. Finally, we will be choosing an entrant from the group of people who haven't won, or haven't won recently, and they will also win a previously reviewed movie.

Entries must be received by 10 a.m., Pacific Time on Friday to be eligible, so don't delay! More...

2016 Preview: November

November 1st, 2016

Doctor Strange

October turned out to be a mixed month. On the one hand, not one movie earned $100 million, or even came close. However, it was also a more steady month than last October and the last two weeks really helped 2016 in the year-over-year comparisons. In November, we have five films with at least a shot at $100 million, three of which should have no trouble getting to at least $200 million. A little while ago, I thought Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them would be the biggest hit of the month, but the buzz took a hit recently. More on that below. Meanwhile, Doctor Strange’s reviews are currently 90% positive and that should help it out at the box office. The third very likely $200 million hit is Moana. There is certainly precedent for an animated movie to be a monster hit at this time of year, but there is also a lot of competition. Last November was similar in strength, with five films that earned more than $100 million and two films that earned more than $200 million. None earned more than $300 million, so that’s the goal for this November. If we can get one $300 million and / or three $200 million movies over the month, then it will be seen as a victory. More...


  1. Summary
  2. News
  3. Box Office
  4. International
  5. Video Sales
  6. Full Financials
  7. Cast & Crew
  8. Trailer

Synopsis

The true story of one of the most inspiring and unlikely comebacks in sports history. Vinny “The Pazmanian Devil” Pazienza, is a local Providence boxer who shot to stardom after winning two world title fights. After a near-fatal car accident leaves Vinny with a severed spine, doctors tell him he may never walk again. With the help of renowned trainer Kevin Rooney, Vinny becomes a legend when he not only walks again, but miraculously returns to the ring to reclaim his title belt only a year after the accident.

Metrics

Opening Weekend:$2,366,810 (46.6% of total gross)
Legs:2.15 (domestic box office/biggest weekend)
Domestic Share:70.9% (domestic box office/worldwide)
Production Budget:$16,000,000 (worldwide box office is 0.4 times production budget)
Theater counts:1,549 opening theaters/1,549 max. theaters, 2.6 weeks average run per theater
Infl. Adj. Dom. BO $6,335,773

Latest Ranking on Cumulative Box Office Lists


Watch Now On

Amazon VOD:Amazon
iTunes:iTunes
Google Play:Google Play
Vudu:Vudu

Movie Details

Domestic Releases: November 18th, 2016 (Wide) by Open Road
International Releases: December 2nd, 2016 (Wide) (United Kingdom)
December 30th, 2016 (Wide), released as Bleed for This - A Força de Um Campeão (Portugal)
February 3rd, 2017 (Wide) (Russia (CIS))
February 24th, 2017 (Wide), released as Kova iki paskutinio kraujo lašo (Lithuania)
March 6th, 2017 (Wide) (South Korea)
... Show all releases
Video Release: January 31st, 2017 by Universal Home Entertainment
MPAA Rating: R for language, sexuality/nudity and some accident images.
(Rating bulletin 2446 (Cert #50063), 10/12/2016)
Running Time: 116 minutes
Comparisons: vs. Harriet
Create your own comparison chart…
Keywords: Inspirational Sports, Boxing, Car Accident, Paralysis, Comeback, Biographical Drama, Biography, Sports Injury, 1980s, 1990s
Source:Based on Real Life Events
Genre:Drama
Production Method:Live Action
Creative Type:Dramatization
Production/Financing Companies: Open Road Films, Magna Entertainment, Sikelia Productions, Verdi Productions, Bruce Cohen Productions, Younger Than You Productions, The Solution Entertainment Group
Production Countries: United States
Languages: English

Leading Cast

Miles Teller    Vinny Pazienza
Aaron Eckhart    Kevin Rooney
Christine Evangelista    Ashley

Supporting Cast

Katey Sagal    Louise Pazienza
Ciaran Hinds    Angelo Pazienza
Ted Levine    Lou Duva
Jordan Gelber    Dan Duva
Amanda Clayton    Doreen
Liz Carey    Charity
Tina Casciani    Heather
Daniel Sauli    Jon
Tom DeNucci    Paulie
Denise Schaefer    Leigh
Julie Ann Dawson    Ring Girl
Gia Skova    Duran Ring Girl
Allie Marshall    Sport Reporter/Fight Attendee
Kimberly Howe    Doreen’s Friend
Portland Helmich    Reporter at Weigh-In
Stephanie McIntyre    VIP Supporter
Ashley Tramonte    Ringside VIP
Lance Norris    Casino Gambler

For a description of the different acting role types we use to categorize acting perfomances, see our Glossary.

Production and Technical Credits

Ben Younger    Director
Bruce Cohen    Producer
Emma Tillinger Koskoff    Producer
Ben Younger    Producer
Chad A. Verdi    Producer
Noah Kraft    Producer
Pamela Thur    Producer
Ben Younger    Screenwriter
Ben Younger    Story by
Pippa Bianco    Story by
Angelo Pizzo    Story by
Martin Scorsese    Executive Producer
Joshua Sason    Executive Producer
Michelle Verdi    Executive Producer
Myles Nestel    Executive Producer
Lisa Wilson    Executive Producer
Larkin Seiple    Director of Photography
Kay Lee    Production Designer
Zac Stuart-Pontier    Editor
Melissa Vargas    Costume Designer
Susan Jacobs    Music Supervisor
Julia Holter    Composer
Kerry Barden    Casting Director
Paul Schnee    Casting Director

Home Market Releases for February 14th, 2017

February 13th, 2017

Arrival

It is an interesting week with four top-notch releases. Unfortunately, two of those releases, Doctor Strange and Moonlight, are VOD only. This leaves just two contenders for Pick of the Week: Arrival and The Edge of Seventeen. Both are absolute must haves, but Arrival’s Blu-ray or 4K Ultra HD Combo Pack have far more extras and it is the Pick of the Week. More...

Home Market Releases for January 31st, 2017

January 31st, 2017

Queen of Katwe

It’s a slow week at the top, as there are no new releases that were hits in theaters. That doesn’t mean we have no contenders for Pick of the Week, just that they are smaller films or ones that struggled in theaters. Queen of Katwe is the best of this list and the Blu-ray is the Pick of the Week. More...

Weekend Wrap-up: Moana Takes on Beast Over Thanksgiving Weekend

November 29th, 2016

Moana

As expected, Moana earned first place over the Thanksgiving weekend and became the biggest true opener in the holiday’s history. (Technically Frozen opened in limited release the week before and as we learned from Futurama, technically correct is the best kind of correct.) The film was a little more front-loaded than expected and nearly matched our predictions. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them held on better than predicted and that one-two punch helped the overall box office grow 17% from last weekend to $184 million, over the three-day portion of the weekend. This is nearly identical to the same weekend last year; in fact, it was up by less than 1%. Year-to-date, 2016 has pulled in $9.99 billion. 2016 will soon become the eighth year in a row to reach the $10 billion milestone. This is 5.0% / $470 million above last year’s pace. I’ve been saying for a while that we needed to enter December with a $300 million advantage over 2015 in order to come out ahead at the end of the year, so this is great news. More...

Weekend Wrap-Up: Fantastic Beast Can’t Lift Box Office

November 22nd, 2016

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

As expected, Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them dominated the box office earning nearly as much as the rest of the films combined. However, it was unexpectedly weak earning just $74.40 million. In fact, every film we talked about on Thursday’s predictions underperformed and the overall box office was down to $158 million. Granted, “down” in this case is only off by 0.1%, but considering we were expecting significant growth, even a little drop is distressing. Worse still, the box office is off by 8.9% from this weekend last year. Again, we were expecting growth in the year-over-year comparison, so a drop this big really hurts. Year-to-date, 2016 has pulled in $9.49 billion, which is 5.9% or $540 million better than last year’s pace. That said, I wouldn’t panic, as Moana should help the box office bounce back this weekend. More...

Weekend Estimates: Fantastic Beasts Makes Fantastic-ish $75 Million

November 20th, 2016

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them is doing everything Warner Bros. could have wished for this weekend, posting a lively $75 million opening in the US, hitting $143.3 million internationally for a global opening over $200 million, and getting a A CinemaScore that should give it positive word of mouth going into Thanksgiving. For a franchise reboot, that’s a lot of reasons to be happy, although its opening is well below the openings enjoyed by the original Harry Potter franchise. The worst of those, Chamber of Secrets, opened with $88 million over three days (Order of the Phoenix and Half-Blood Prince both technically had slower weekends than Chamber of Secrets, but both of them opened on Wednesday, and they still did over $75 million Friday–Sunday). More...

Friday Estimates: Fantastic Dominates Charts, but with just $29.7 million

November 19th, 2016

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

As expected, Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them easily earned first place on Friday. However, it only managed $29.7 million, which was well below expectations. This is the worst opening day in the Harry Potter franchise since The Chamber of Secrets. (The two films are so close that the final figure for Fantastic Beasts could be the worst in the franchise.) The reviews are weaker than the franchise as a whole, but its CinemaScore is an A and that’s roughly average for the previous 8 Harry Potter films. The film should still earn between $70 million and $75 million over the weekend, depending on if the high CinemaScore can overcome the Fanboy Effect. I would choose to be optimistic, but that hasn’t worked out this weekend. More...

Thursday Night Previews: Fantastic Doesn’t Quite Live Up to Its Name with $8.75 million - Updated

November 18th, 2016

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them pulled in $8.75 million during its midnight shows last night. That’s good, but a little lower than expected and not even the best of the fall so far. It was beaten by Doctor Strange, which earned $9.4 million just two weeks ago. Worse still, Fantastic Beasts' reviews have fallen to 74% positive. That’s still good for a blockbuster release, but it is the lowest in the Harry Potter franchise and will likely hurt the film’s box office performance over the weekend. It should still make over $80 million this weekend, but it will be close. We might have to revise that prediction lower tomorrow when we have Friday’s estimates. More...

Weekend Predictions: Will Fantastic Be Fantastic? Or will it merely be a Beast at the Box Office?

November 17th, 2016

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

At the beginning of the month, we thought there would be four wide releases / expansions this week. However, it turns out there will be just one, Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them. The lack of wide releases should help it at the box office and there is a small chance it could top $100 million over the next three days. While there are no other wide releases, there are a few films opening or expanding semi-wide. Of these, The Edge of Seventeen is the only one with a realistic shot at the top five. It is earning the best reviews of the week and did earn a lot of film festival buzz, so that should help. Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk had an amazing opening in limited release last weekend, but it will likely struggle as it expands into just over 1,000 theaters this weekend. Finally there’s Bleed for This, which is expected to barely make the top ten. This weekend last year, the final installment of the Hunger Games franchise opened with just over $100 million. There’s a slim chance Fantastic Beasts will do the same. Even if it doesn’t, the depth this year is much better than last year and that should help 2016 win in the year-over-year comparison. More...

Contest: Fantastic Prizes

November 10th, 2016

Kubo and the Two Strings

There are four films opening or expanding wide next week, at least that’s what we thought would happen at the beginning of the month. Now we learn The Edge of Seventeen is opening semi-wide, Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk is only expanding semi-wide, while we still don’t know what is happening with Bleed for This. This is great news for Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them, as it will have even less competition that anticipated. It is also the only reasonable choice for the target film in this week’s Box Office Prediction contest. In order to win, one must simply predict the opening weekend box office number for Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them.

Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going over, will win a copy of Kubo and the Two Strings on Blu-ray Combo Pack. Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going under, will also win a previously reviewed movie. Finally, we will be choosing an entrant from the group of people who haven't won, or haven't won recently, and they will also win a previously reviewed movie.

Entries must be received by 10 a.m., Pacific Time on Friday to be eligible, so don't delay! More...

2016 Preview: November

November 1st, 2016

Doctor Strange

October turned out to be a mixed month. On the one hand, not one movie earned $100 million, or even came close. However, it was also a more steady month than last October and the last two weeks really helped 2016 in the year-over-year comparisons. In November, we have five films with at least a shot at $100 million, three of which should have no trouble getting to at least $200 million. A little while ago, I thought Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them would be the biggest hit of the month, but the buzz took a hit recently. More on that below. Meanwhile, Doctor Strange’s reviews are currently 90% positive and that should help it out at the box office. The third very likely $200 million hit is Moana. There is certainly precedent for an animated movie to be a monster hit at this time of year, but there is also a lot of competition. Last November was similar in strength, with five films that earned more than $100 million and two films that earned more than $200 million. None earned more than $300 million, so that’s the goal for this November. If we can get one $300 million and / or three $200 million movies over the month, then it will be seen as a victory. More...

Compare this performance with other movies…

Domestic Cumulative Box Office Records

Weekend Box Office Performance

DateRankGross% ChangeTheatersPer TheaterTotal GrossWeek
Nov 18, 2016 8 $2,366,810   1,549 $1,528   $2,366,810 1
Nov 25, 2016 17 $920,559 -61% 1,549 $594   $4,224,263 2
Dec 2, 2016 20 $295,675 -68% 649 $456   $4,847,865 3
Dec 9, 2016 33 $68,808 -77% 210 $328   $5,051,927 4

Daily Box Office Performance

DateRankGross%YD%LWTheatersPer TheaterTotal GrossDays
Nov 18, 2016 8 $895,366     1,549 $578   $895,366 1
Nov 19, 2016 9 $886,412 -1%   1,549 $572   $1,781,778 2
Nov 20, 2016 8 $585,032 -34%   1,549 $378   $2,366,810 3
Nov 21, 2016 9 $251,564 -57%   1,549 $162   $2,618,374 4
Nov 22, 2016 8 $279,236 +11%   1,549 $180   $2,897,610 5
Nov 23, 2016 13 $212,219 -24%   1,549 $137   $3,109,829 6
Nov 24, 2016 15 $193,875 -9%   1,549 $125   $3,303,704 7
Nov 25, 2016 - $363,111 +87% -59% 1,549 $234   $3,666,815 8
Nov 26, 2016 - $366,742 +1% -59% 1,549 $237   $4,033,557 9
Nov 27, 2016 - $190,706 -48% -67% 1,549 $123   $4,224,263 10
Nov 28, 2016 15 $76,491 -60% -70% 1,549 $49   $4,300,754 11
Nov 29, 2016 - $103,263 +35% -63% 1,549 $67   $4,404,017 12
Nov 30, 2016 - $81,414 -21% -62% 1,549 $53   $4,485,431 13
Dec 1, 2016 - $66,759 -18% -66% 1,549 $43   $4,552,190 14
Dec 2, 2016 - $84,871 +27% -77% 649 $131   $4,637,061 15
Dec 3, 2016 - $127,760 +51% -65% 649 $197   $4,764,821 16
Dec 4, 2016 - $83,044 -35% -56% 649 $128   $4,847,865 17
Dec 5, 2016 - $33,217 -60% -57% 649 $51   $4,881,082 18
Dec 6, 2016 - $43,846 +32% -58% 649 $68   $4,924,928 19
Dec 7, 2016 - $34,638 -21% -57% 649 $53   $4,959,566 20
Dec 8, 2016 - $23,553 -32% -65% 649 $36   $4,983,119 21
Dec 9, 2016 - $20,629 -12% -76% 210 $98   $5,003,748 22
Dec 10, 2016 - $27,849 +35% -78% 210 $133   $5,031,597 23
Dec 11, 2016 - $20,330 -27% -76% 210 $97   $5,051,927 24
Dec 12, 2016 - $8,742 -57% -74% 210 $42   $5,060,669 25
Dec 13, 2016 - $10,228 +17% -77% 210 $49   $5,070,897 26
Dec 14, 2016 - $8,080 -21% -77% 210 $38   $5,078,977 27
Dec 15, 2016 - $4,929 -39% -79% 210 $23   $5,083,906 28

Weekly Box Office Performance

DateRankGross% ChangeTheatersPer TheaterTotal GrossWeek
Nov 18, 2016 10 $3,303,704   1,549 $2,133   $3,303,704 1
Nov 25, 2016 16 $1,248,486 -62% 1,549 $806   $4,552,190 2
Dec 2, 2016 20 $430,929 -65% 649 $664   $4,983,119 3
Dec 9, 2016 33 $100,787 -77% 210 $480   $5,083,906 4

Box Office Summary Per Territory

Territory Release
Date
Opening
Weekend
Opening
Weekend
Screens
Maximum
Screens
Theatrical
Engagements
Total
Box Office
Report
Date
Belgium 5/10/2017 $1,757 3 3 5 $2,417 5/31/2017
Germany 4/20/2017 $61,051 102 102 125 $66,328 5/9/2017
Italy 3/9/2017 $241,422 0 0 0 $451,926 3/22/2017
Lithuania 2/24/2017 $3,139 31 31 44 $6,592 3/21/2017
Portugal 12/30/2016 $31,309 36 36 90 $89,211 1/26/2017
Russia (CIS) 2/3/2017 $119,950 151 151 260 $166,132 1/1/2019
South Africa 4/28/2017 $2,394 5 6 12 $4,645 5/16/2017
South Korea 3/6/2017 $0 0 167 167 $60,084 4/19/2017
United Kingdom 12/2/2016 $318,375 238 238 238 $672,685 10/2/2018
 
Rest of World $567,394
 
International Total$2,087,414 1/1/2019

International Cumulative Box Office Records


Worldwide Cumulative Box Office Records


Weekly US DVD Sales

DateRankUnits
this
Week
% ChangeTotal
Units
Spending
this
Week
Total
Spending
Weeks
in
Release
Feb 19, 20172614,308 14,308$256,972$256,9723

Weekly US Blu-ray Sales

DateRankUnits
this
Week
% ChangeTotal
Units
Spending
this
Week
Total
Spending
Weeks
in
Release
Feb 19, 20171512,900 12,900$262,122$262,1223

Our DVD and Blu-ray sales estimates are based on weekly retail surveys, which we use to build a weekly market share estimate for each title we are tracking. The market share is converted into a weekly sales estimate based on industry reports on the overall size of the market, including reports published in Media Play News.

For example, if our weekly retail survey estimates that a particular title sold 1% of all units that week, and the industry reports sales of 1,500,000 units in total, we will estimate 15,000 units were sold of that title. The consumer spending estimate is based on the average sales price for the title in the retailers we survey.

We refine our estimates from week to week as more data becomes available. In particular, we adjust weekly sales figures for the quarter once the total market estimates are published by the Digital Entertainment Group. Figures will therefore fluctuate each week, and totals for individual titles can go up or down as we update our estimates.

Because sales figures are estimated based on sampling, they will be more accurate for higher-selling titles.

Full financial estimates for this film, including domestic and international box office, video sales, video rentals, TV and ancillary revenue are available through our research services. For more information, please contact us at research@the-numbers.com.